Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.044347 0.051828 0.060058 0.069763 0.080878 0.093190 0.107842
2025-02-16 0.031330 0.040672 0.051936 0.066445 0.084562 0.106350 0.134444
2025-02-23 0.022841 0.032615 0.045414 0.063237 0.087229 0.118186 0.160900
2025-03-02 0.017386 0.027078 0.040751 0.061162 0.090509 0.130759 0.189609
2025-03-09 0.014131 0.023799 0.038377 0.061515 0.096751 0.147682 0.225922
2025-03-16 0.011153 0.020246 0.034849 0.059399 0.098836 0.158654 0.254776
2025-03-23 0.009820 0.019030 0.034654 0.062249 0.108628 0.181887 0.304111
2025-03-30 0.008349 0.017250 0.033172 0.062661 0.114412 0.199354 0.346156
2025-04-06 0.006898 0.015184 0.030806 0.061111 0.116563 0.210997 0.379785
2025-04-13 0.005783 0.013528 0.028874 0.059977 0.119156 0.223440 0.415710
2025-04-20 0.005312 0.013095 0.029189 0.063042 0.129609 0.250324 0.478716
2025-04-27 0.004842 0.012565 0.029210 0.065496 0.139139 0.276375 0.542468
2025-05-04 0.004012 0.011054 0.026983 0.063176 0.139338 0.285757 0.577659
2025-05-11 0.003439 0.010031 0.025634 0.062489 0.142698 0.301388 0.625934
2025-05-18 0.002883 0.008918 0.023883 0.060647 0.143417 0.311950 0.665514
2025-05-25 0.002444 0.008007 0.022437 0.059256 0.144879 0.324057 0.709111
2025-06-01 0.002176 0.007507 0.021908 0.059917 0.150886 0.345898 0.773938
2025-06-08 0.001832 0.006692 0.020420 0.058011 0.150830 0.355047 0.813586
2025-06-15 0.001725 0.006591 0.020816 0.060887 0.162216 0.389610 0.909053
2025-06-22 0.001540 0.006188 0.020304 0.061336 0.167851 0.412120 0.980690
2025-06-29 0.001318 0.005593 0.019131 0.059839 0.168532 0.423640 1.029450
2025-07-06 0.001139 0.005099 0.018160 0.058738 0.170054 0.437167 1.083682
2025-07-13 0.001088 0.005071 0.018617 0.061751 0.182503 0.477086 1.200267